Cogito
Probability and Statistics · Chapter 3 · Lesson 1
Probability Basics
Measuring how likely something is.
12 problems · about 20 minutes · TEKS P.S.2.A, S-CP.A.1
Figure — use these to answer the problems
Warm Up
Straightforward practice. Get the method working first.
5 problemsP(A) = 0.45. What is P(not A)?
AnswerAfter four heads, what is the chance of heads next?
- Still one half; the coin has no memory.
- Less than half, since tails is due.
One die. Probability of a six, as a decimal to three places?
AnswerOne die. Probability of an even number, as a decimal?
AnswerP(A) = 0.2. What is P(not A)?
Answer
Build It Up
The same ideas with more to keep track of.
3 problemsA bag has 4 red and 6 blue. Probability of blue, as a decimal?
Answer20 trials gave 13 successes. Experimental probability, as a decimal?
AnswerFive heads in a row. Probability the next toss is tails, as a decimal?
Answer
Stretch Yourself
Mixed problems. Work out what kind of question it is before you start.
4 problemsSort each probability by what it describes.
Write each item under the heading it belongs to: One in six for a die, by counting faces · Half for a coin, by counting sides · 13 heads in 20 actual tosses · 47 sixes in 300 actual rolls
Theoretical
Experimental
What is the probability of an impossible event?
AnswerThe Bag
A bag has 3 red and 7 blue marbles. What is the probability of red, as a decimal?
AnswerThe Complement
The probability of rain is 0.35. What is the probability of no rain?
Answer