Cogito
Probability and Statistics · Chapter 8 · Lesson 2
Hypothesis Testing
Could chance alone explain this?
12 problems · about 23 minutes · TEKS P.S.4.E, S-IC.B.5
Figure — use these to answer the problems
Warm Up
Straightforward practice. Get the method working first.
5 problemsp-value 0.002 at the 0.05 level. Significant? 1 yes, 0 no.
AnswerWhat exactly does a p-value measure?
- The chance of a result this extreme, assuming the null is true.
- The probability that the null hypothesis is true.
p-value 0.01 at the 0.05 level. Significant? 1 yes, 0 no.
Answerp-value 0.20 at the 0.05 level. Significant? 1 yes, 0 no.
AnswerWhich hypothesis states no effect? 1 null, 2 alternative.
Answer
Build It Up
The same ideas with more to keep track of.
3 problemsA fair coin, 100 tosses. Expected heads?
AnswerThe usual significance threshold, as a decimal?
AnswerDoes a smaller p-value mean more surprising under the null? 1 yes, 0 no.
Answer
Stretch Yourself
Mixed problems. Work out what kind of question it is before you start.
4 problemsPut a hypothesis test in order.
Write 1 to 4 in the boxes to put these in order.
- State the null and alternative hypotheses.
- Collect data and compute the statistic.
- Find the p-value, assuming the null is true.
- Compare it to the threshold and conclude in context.
p-value 0.049 at the 0.05 level. Significant? 1 yes, 0 no.
AnswerThe Threshold
p-value 0.03 at the 0.05 level. Is the result significant? 1 yes, 0 no.
AnswerThe Large p
p-value 0.40. Does this prove the null hypothesis is true? 1 yes, 0 no.
Answer