Cogito
AP Statistics · Chapter 3 · Lesson 1
Confidence Intervals for a Proportion
An estimate with its uncertainty attached.
11 problems · about 25 minutes · AP Statistics 6.1, 6.3
Figure — use these to answer the problems
5
Warm Up
Straightforward practice. Get the method working first.
4 problemsEstimate 55%, margin 6%. Lower end as a percent?
AnswerEstimate 40%, margin 5%. Lower end as a percent?
AnswerEstimate 40%, margin 5%. Width of the interval, in percentage points?
AnswerA larger sample makes the interval which? 1 for narrower, 2 for wider.
Answer
Build It Up
The same ideas with more to keep track of.
3 problemsRaising confidence from 95% to 99% makes it which? 1 for narrower, 2 for wider.
AnswerSelect every correct interpretation of a 95% confidence interval.
- The method captures the true value in 95% of samples.
- There is a 95% chance the true value is in this interval.
- The true value is fixed; the interval varies.
- 95% of the data lies in the interval.
- Tick every box that applies.
Interval 49% to 55%. Does it establish a majority? 1 for yes, 0 for no.
Answer
Stretch Yourself
Mixed problems. Work out what kind of question it is before you start.
4 problemsEstimate 70%, margin 2%. Upper end as a percent?
AnswerTo halve the margin of error, roughly how many times the sample size is needed?
AnswerThe Lower End
Estimate 60% with margin of error 4%. What is the lower end, as a percent?
AnswerThe Upper End
Same interval. What is the upper end, as a percent?
Answer