Cogito
AP Statistics · Chapter 5 · Lesson 2
Residuals and Model Fit
Checking whether a line was the right choice.
12 problems · about 22 minutes · DAT-1.G, DAT-1.H
Figure — use these to answer the problems
Warm Up
Straightforward practice. Get the method working first.
5 problemsr = 0.9. What is r squared?
AnswerWhat should a residual plot look like for a good linear model?
- Random scatter with no pattern.
- A clear straight line.
Predicted 20, actual 17. Residual?
AnswerA negative residual means the model did what? 1 overestimated, 2 underestimated.
Answerr = 0.6. What is r squared?
Answer
Build It Up
The same ideas with more to keep track of.
3 problemsr squared = 0.49. What percentage of variation is explained?
AnswerA curved residual plot. Is a line appropriate? 1 yes, 0 no.
AnswerWhat does least squares minimise? 1 the sum of squared residuals, 2 the largest residual.
Answer
Stretch Yourself
Mixed problems. Work out what kind of question it is before you start.
4 problemsWhich statements about r squared are true?
- It is the proportion of variation in y explained by x
- It is the square of the correlation
- It gives the percentage of points on the line
- It proves the relationship is causal
- Tick every box that applies.
r = 0.5. What is r squared?
AnswerThe Residual
Predicted 9, actual 11. What is the residual?
AnswerThe Explained Variation
r = 0.8. What is r squared?
Answer