Cogito
Integrated Math 2 · Chapter 8 · Lesson 2
Conditional Probability
Given that something already happened.
12 problems · about 21 minutes · S-CP.A.3, S-CP.B.6
Figure — use these to answer the problems
Warm Up
Straightforward practice. Get the method working first.
5 problemsP(A and B) = 0.18, P(B) = 0.6. What is P(A given B)?
AnswerWhat does conditioning on B do?
- It shrinks the sample space to just B.
- It enlarges the sample space.
P(A and B) = 0.3, P(B) = 0.6. P(A given B)?
AnswerP(A and B) = 0.12, P(B) = 0.4. P(A given B)?
Answer18 of 24 in a group have a trait. P(trait given the group)?
Answer
Build It Up
The same ideas with more to keep track of.
3 problemsP(A given B) = P(A). Independent? 1 yes, 0 no.
AnswerA die shows an even number. P(it is a 6), to three decimal places?
AnswerIs P(A given B) always equal to P(B given A)? 1 yes, 0 no.
Answer
Stretch Yourself
Mixed problems. Work out what kind of question it is before you start.
4 problemsPut the conditional probability method in order.
Write 1 to 4 in the boxes to put these in order.
- Identify which event is the condition.
- Use that event as the new total.
- Count how many of those also satisfy the other event.
- Divide to get the conditional probability.
P(A and B) = 0.35, P(B) = 0.7. P(A given B)?
AnswerThe Condition
P(A and B) = 0.2 and P(B) = 0.5. What is P(A given B)?
AnswerThe Table
Of 60 sport players, 45 play music. What is P(music given sport)?
Answer